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Red50
213525.5
77778.0
66811.9
Blue52
366917.8
413516.5
425516.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060705052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
20.219.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 7.7
3669
#12
17.80.1
17.016.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Second
668
#33
11.90.7
14.513.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 4.6
16.50.1
14.214.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
7777
#21
8.00.7
6.35.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.2
blue by 8.2
4255
#30
16.10.1
12.011.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed