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Red66
425516.1
476523.0
264314.3
Blue46
107217.7
752810.4
41718.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513802060806646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.3
19.120.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 5.3
1072
#14
17.70.4
16.917.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
4255
#30
16.11.9
11.813.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.8
red by 5.7
7528
#31
10.40.4
11.511.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
2643
#11
14.31.3
13.614.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
red by 5.7
4171
#36
8.70.6
7.27.8
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed