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Red58
95466.6
128016.1
10028.0
Blue83
413516.5
203513.5
213525.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447204060801005883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#3
28.00.7
25.326.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 2.6
25.51.9
19.921.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
1280
#26
16.10.7
15.516.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End1.3
blue by 0.4
16.51.9
13.115.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
9546
#32
6.60.9
7.28.1
Auto1.0
Teleop5.8
End-0.3
blue by 6.9
2035
#24
13.51.9
10.712.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed