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Red37
517115.8
41718.7
900611.3
Blue95
77778.0
60448.7
264314.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3386020601001201401603795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#20
15.80.1
16.216.3
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 32.8
604
#2
48.70.5
48.247.8
Auto18.4
Teleop25.1
End5.2
Second
9006
#25
11.30.1
11.211.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 3.1
2643
#11
14.30.5
15.114.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
4171
#36
8.70.1
8.68.7
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
red by 0.7
7777
#21
8.00.5
8.48.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned