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Red121
528517.2
715730.4
347630.9
Blue86
441529.1
421.6
699530.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8490406010012014016012186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
30.430.9
Auto12.7
Teleop15.3
End2.9
red by 0.4
30.50.1
30.430.5
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
30.40.5
29.930.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.8
End2.9
red by 1.3
4415
#17
29.10.1
28.929.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Third
5285
#26
17.20.5
16.717.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
blue by 4.3
4
#19
21.60.1
21.521.6
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End1.2