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Red131
49997.1
903719.6
347630.9
Blue64
407923.9
496410.1
330926.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565540608010012013164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.3
27.528.9
Auto12.7
Teleop15.3
End2.9
red by 4.2
26.70.5
23.023.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Second
9037
#10
19.61.3
14.916.2
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 4.3
4079
#18
23.90.5
18.719.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End0.7
Third
4999
#47
7.11.3
8.59.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 3.0
4964
#39
10.10.8
8.39.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed