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Red41
461914.0
427617.2
528517.2
Blue69
407923.9
860010.6
741523.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355201001504169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5285
#26
17.20.6
11.111.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
blue by 6.6
4079
#18
23.92.2
16.318.5
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End0.7
Second
4276
#20
17.20.6
14.014.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
blue by 5.8
23.02.0
19.721.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End1.5
Third
4619
#36
14.00.8
8.99.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End0.8
red by 3.4
8600
#33
10.62.7
8.711.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed