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Red60
519934.0
32957.2
583516.8
Blue36
196719.1
950510.7
528517.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574220801006036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.4
27.728.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
red by 14.8
1967
#13
19.10.2
17.116.9
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End1.6
Second
16.80.4
14.615.0
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 0.4
5285
#26
17.20.2
14.214.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Third
3295
#38
7.20.6
7.27.8
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 3.5
9505
#24
10.70.2
8.17.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed