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Red71
76077.9
248532.5
715730.4
Blue30
96964.2
498411.4
656025.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744520601001201407130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.0
30.130.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.0
End2.6
red by 6.9
6560
#11
25.51.0
26.825.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Second
30.40.0
27.327.3
Auto10.7
Teleop16.8
End2.9
red by 19.0
4984
#14
11.41.0
9.38.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
7607
#28
7.90.0
6.36.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
red by 3.7
9696
#45
4.21.6
8.36.7
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned