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Red41
860010.6
95207.7
699530.5
Blue34
81212.5
74476.9
583516.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544302060801004134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.4
29.328.9
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 13.7
16.81.2
15.414.1
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Second
8600
#33
10.60.7
10.49.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 1.9
812
#43
12.51.2
13.712.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Third
9520
#41
7.70.4
7.87.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
red by 0.7
7447
#44
6.92.1
11.49.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed