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Red59
8679.3
447011.4
248532.5
Blue39
347312.2
977212.1
461914.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642702040801005939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.2
31.030.8
Auto10.9
Teleop19.0
End2.6
red by 18.4
4619
#36
14.01.1
12.313.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End0.8
Second
4470
#29
11.40.4
12.412.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End0.6
blue by 0.8
3473
#35
12.20.7
7.88.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Third
867
#37
9.30.4
9.89.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 2.8
9772
#32
12.11.1
9.010.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed