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Red51
656025.5
421.6
49997.1
Blue61
715730.4
583516.8
447011.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5947102030407080905161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#11
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End4.6
blue by 4.8
30.41.1
23.824.9
Auto10.7
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Second
4
#19
21.60.5
16.516.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 4.7
16.81.4
10.511.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
4999
#47
7.10.4
9.59.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 4.3
4470
#29
11.41.9
9.611.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed