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Red121
927121.3
852111.4
248532.5
Blue65
699530.5
407923.9
81212.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6771010020030040050012165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.3
31.933.2
Auto10.9
Teleop19.0
End2.6
red by 2.0
30.50.2
28.328.1
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
9271
#12
21.32.0
18.220.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End2.4
blue by 2.6
4079
#18
23.90.2
22.221.9
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End0.7
Third
8521
#27
11.41.3
10.812.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 1.1
812
#43
12.50.2
13.213.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed