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Red34
930110.8
498411.4
496410.1
Blue51
583516.8
950510.7
347312.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060801001203451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#14
11.40.7
12.111.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 5.5
16.81.0
16.117.1
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Second
9301
#34
10.80.7
11.510.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 1.4
3473
#35
12.21.0
10.511.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Third
4964
#39
10.11.0
11.110.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 0.6
9505
#24
10.71.0
9.810.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed