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Red93
930110.8
592421.2
441529.1
Blue29
81212.5
852111.4
977212.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54250204060801009329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
29.12.4
19.722.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End0.3
red by 16.5
812
#43
12.50.2
12.312.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Second
5924
#21
21.23.0
17.820.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
red by 9.2
9772
#32
12.12.6
12.19.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Third
9301
#34
10.83.0
7.910.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 0.6
8521
#27
11.40.2
4.95.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed