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Red58
248532.5
330926.7
58923.0
Blue95
519934.0
347312.2
803334.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91926070801001105895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.6
33.032.5
Auto10.9
Teleop19.0
End2.6
blue by 1.9
8033
#16
34.30.2
34.834.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End0.6
Second
26.70.6
27.326.7
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.6
blue by 7.3
34.00.2
34.434.3
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
Third
589
#23
23.00.6
23.623.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 10.9
3473
#35
12.20.2
12.612.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5