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Red25
9806.4
80209.5
945213.7
Blue63
88912.5
448128.8
351212.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34450102030405060702563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#41
13.70.8
10.49.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 15.1
28.82.6
18.020.6
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
8020
#33
9.50.8
13.712.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 3.2
3512
#45
12.72.6
15.718.3
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Third
980
#46
6.40.8
7.66.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End1.1
red by 3.9
8891
#37
2.52.6
5.88.4
Auto0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed