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Red41
513710.8
11592.3
420119.5
Blue73
603632.2
95207.5
97322.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286202040801004173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
15.715.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 12.7
32.22.3
24.126.4
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
Second
5137
#11
10.80.2
10.911.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 11.5
973
#8
22.32.3
20.422.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Third
1159
#49
2.30.2
2.93.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
blue by 5.2
9520
#19
7.52.3
7.810.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed