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Red37
43227.8
80209.5
441516.9
Blue50
66586.0
513710.8
11653.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44230103040506070803750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
16.90.5
17.016.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 6.1
5137
#11
10.80.3
12.111.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Second
8020
#33
9.50.5
10.29.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
red by 3.5
6658
#30
6.00.3
5.95.5
Auto0.5
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Third
4322
#44
7.80.5
9.99.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
red by 4.5
1165
#38
3.30.3
5.45.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned