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Red107
603632.2
34739.4
541924.6
Blue20
25438.9
95059.6
43227.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662902040608010012010720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.23.5
28.431.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
red by 22.6
9505
#42
9.61.5
11.29.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Second
5419
#12
24.63.5
21.124.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.9
red by 15.7
2543
#26
8.91.5
10.48.9
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Third
3473
#34
9.43.5
5.99.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
red by 1.6
4322
#44
7.81.5
9.47.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed