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Red63
420119.5
312823.4
265812.8
Blue39
43227.8
271013.4
49816.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494401001506339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#23
23.40.5
13.313.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 6.6
498
#28
16.81.2
15.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Second
19.50.5
18.919.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 6.1
2710
#15
13.41.2
11.810.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Third
2658
#22
12.80.5
11.411.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 5.0
4322
#44
7.81.2
13.212.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned