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Red54
519920.5
325513.9
441516.9
Blue94
248524.0
715719.3
416.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57613040507080901005494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#10
20.50.2
20.720.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
blue by 3.5
24.00.4
22.222.7
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Second
4415
#17
16.90.2
17.116.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 2.4
7157
#13
19.30.4
17.417.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
3255
#32
13.90.2
14.113.9
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
blue by 2.6
4
#24
16.50.4
14.715.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9