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Red70
157213.4
603632.2
441424.7
Blue51
49816.8
210222.3
312823.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8157020401001201401607051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
32.332.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
red by 8.8
3128
#23
23.40.2
20.620.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
24.70.2
24.724.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 2.4
22.30.2
19.519.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Third
1572
#21
13.40.2
13.413.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 3.5
498
#28
16.80.2
14.013.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4