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Red103
364732.1
889116.8
35943.0
Blue79
97323.4
427032.5
513718.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104785015010379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
43.00.3
42.843.0
Auto16.0
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 10.5
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
32.10.3
31.932.1
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
red by 8.7
973
#7
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
8891
#18
16.80.3
16.616.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 1.2
5137
#25
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8