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Red43
473832.9
81212.3
39659.9
Blue56
388216.8
265819.7
547420.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543902060801004356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
27.627.2
Auto11.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 12.8
5474
#19
20.11.3
10.511.8
Auto9.9
Teleop7.8
End2.4
Second
812
#30
12.30.5
9.69.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 7.4
19.71.1
12.813.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
3965
#29
9.90.5
10.09.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 6.9
3882
#23
16.81.3
13.815.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned