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Red73
265819.7
210229.4
162223.3
Blue51
334117.7
513718.0
961512.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632802040801007351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
29.41.7
22.824.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
red by 11.3
5137
#25
18.01.8
10.812.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
1622
#17
23.31.4
16.017.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 5.6
3341
#14
17.72.4
10.613.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
19.71.7
13.815.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 7.2
9615
#41
12.52.4
8.010.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed