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Red28
370412.1
388015.5
298410.4
Blue53
688511.6
74419.6
312832.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801002853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#20
15.50.3
14.013.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 16.8
3128
#16
32.40.2
29.329.1
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
3704
#51
12.10.5
7.87.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End0.1
red by 0.5
6885
#37
11.60.2
8.68.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
2984
#47
10.40.5
10.49.9
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 0.8
7441
#49
9.60.3
8.98.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed