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Red46
513718.0
49846.5
153821.8
Blue58
364732.1
39659.9
811917.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47462030405060704658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#28
21.80.6
19.319.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 10.4
3647
#9Sur
32.10.3
24.725.0
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End1.2
Second
5137
#25
18.00.4
12.613.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 0.1
8119
#12
17.90.3
11.611.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9
Third
4984
#48
6.50.6
8.49.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 3.4
3965
#29
9.90.5
7.37.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned