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Red45
388216.8
961512.5
49846.5
Blue54
298410.4
945220.6
157217.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374901001502002503004554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#23
16.80.4
15.115.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End1.5
blue by 3.8
9452
#21
20.60.7
16.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Second
9615
#41
12.50.4
10.410.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 4.9
1572
#13
17.30.7
16.517.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
4984
#48
6.50.4
9.19.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 3.9
2984
#47
10.41.2
9.911.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed