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Red42
416013.6
283915.5
961512.5
Blue73
607212.3
547420.1
312832.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34650204060801004273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#33
15.50.4
12.512.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 16.8
3128
#16
32.40.9
30.130.9
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
4160
#36
13.60.6
12.012.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 6.5
5474
#19
20.11.4
15.717.1
Auto9.9
Teleop7.8
End2.4
Third
9615
#41
12.50.6
10.110.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End0.1
red by 0.2
6072
#40
12.31.4
9.510.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed