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Red23
157217.3
12664.8
58057.4
Blue75
388015.5
334117.7
81212.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43491020306070802375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#13
17.31.4
18.417.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 0.4
3341
#14
17.70.7
15.516.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
5805
#50
7.42.4
9.87.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
blue by 8.1
3880
#20
15.50.4
15.115.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Third
1266
#44
4.82.4
11.59.1
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.7
blue by 7.5
812
#30
12.30.7
13.113.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed