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Red77
441910.6
699530.8
325526.9
Blue39
49846.5
651513.1
265819.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673502060801001207739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#10
30.81.0
27.828.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
red by 11.2
19.70.4
17.216.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Second
26.91.0
20.821.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 13.8
6515
#24
13.10.7
12.211.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
4419
#43
10.61.7
8.19.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 4.1
4984
#48
6.50.7
5.85.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned