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Red80
688511.6
97323.4
699530.8
Blue46
153821.8
197211.5
162223.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5646204060808046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#10
30.81.8
20.322.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.5
red by 7.5
1622
#17
23.30.2
15.816.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
973
#7
23.41.9
22.324.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 1.6
1538
#28
21.80.3
18.118.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
6885
#37
11.61.8
6.98.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 0.1
1972
#27
11.50.3
9.09.4
Auto7.9
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed