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Red116
334117.7
210229.4
325526.9
Blue87
162223.3
811917.9
374923.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786820406010012014011687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
29.40.7
27.928.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
red by 5.8
3749
#15
23.60.5
22.823.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.5
End0.8
Second
26.90.7
25.426.1
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 3.6
1622
#17
23.30.5
22.523.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Third
3341
#14
17.70.9
15.816.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 0.2
8119
#12
17.90.5
17.117.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End0.9