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Red73
153821.8
157217.3
945220.6
Blue90
254316.6
265819.7
312832.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6375020401001201407390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#28
21.80.5
21.321.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 10.6
3128
#16
32.40.5
31.732.3
Auto11.8
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
9452
#21
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
red by 1.0
19.70.5
19.019.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
1572
#13
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 0.7
2543
#26
16.60.5
16.016.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End1.4