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Red63
334117.7
210229.4
325526.9
Blue117
513718.0
427032.5
97323.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7979709010011063117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
29.40.3
28.628.3
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End2.0
blue by 3.1
32.51.0
31.732.7
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
26.90.3
26.125.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 3.5
973
#7
23.41.0
22.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
3341
#14
17.70.4
16.716.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 0.3
5137
#25
18.01.0
17.218.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.8