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Red101
11432.6
550716.6
594038.8
Blue65
742631.2
255114.9
803329.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98826012014010165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.4
38.538.8
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End4.1
red by 7.6
31.20.2
31.531.2
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End2.9
Second
114
#1
32.60.4
32.232.6
Auto13.9
Teleop17.3
End1.5
red by 3.6
29.00.3
29.329.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End0.9
Third
5507
#19
16.60.4
16.216.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 1.7
2551
#14
14.90.3
15.214.9
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5