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Red83
696220.0
550716.6
594038.8
Blue35
97121.5
592417.8
72459.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61452040801008335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.83.3
25.228.4
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End4.1
red by 17.3
971
#7
21.51.9
21.519.6
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Second
6962
#18
20.03.3
10.914.1
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
red by 2.2
5924
#36
17.81.9
11.59.6
Auto9.4
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
5507
#19
16.63.3
17.620.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 6.9
7245
#32
9.61.9
10.08.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed