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Red21
68226.3
68146.4
255114.9
Blue83
84125.4
803329.0
801613.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3864020801001202183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#14
14.91.9
14.112.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 14.1
29.03.1
23.026.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End0.9
Second
6814
#33
6.41.9
13.011.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
blue by 19.0
841
#10
25.41.9
21.223.1
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
6822
#34
6.31.9
10.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
blue by 7.4
8016
#12
13.73.1
10.613.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed