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Qual 362024 San Francisco Regional
Red20
91436.7
285416.3
476514.3
Blue52
550716.6
64921.8
90066.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510204060801002052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#8
16.31.5
12.6→11.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 5.5
649
#6
21.80.8
20.6→19.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.8
Second
4765
#16
14.31.5
12.5→11.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 2.3
5507
#19
16.60.8
18.2→17.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
9143
#31
6.71.5
8.5→7.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 0.1
9006
#27
6.80.8
5.8→4.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned