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Red36
91115.2
469818.6
26435.0
Blue34
570011.8
41869.6
90386.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343410152025304045503634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#11
18.60.6
17.818.5
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
red by 6.8
5700
#24
11.80.1
11.211.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Second
9111
#38
5.20.6
5.66.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
blue by 4.4
4186
#40
9.60.1
11.411.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Third
2643
#42
5.00.6
7.07.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 2.0
9038
#43
6.90.1
8.78.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed