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Red81
285416.3
90066.8
594038.8
Blue42
84018.5
71307.7
958411.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543602060801008142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.82.2
30.432.5
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End4.1
red by 20.3
840
#13
18.50.3
17.517.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
16.32.2
11.013.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 5.0
9584
#17
11.30.3
9.49.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Third
9006
#27
6.82.2
4.97.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End0.2
blue by 0.9
7130
#29
7.70.3
7.78.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed