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Qual 472024 San Francisco Regional
Red60
84018.5
97121.5
641818.7
Blue84
469818.6
803329.0
285416.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596840801006084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
21.50.5
19.5→19.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End0.3
blue by 7.5
8033
#3
29.00.4
28.6→29.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End0.9
Second
6418
#25
18.70.5
16.9→16.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 0.1
4698
#11
18.60.4
18.5→18.9
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
Third
840
#13
18.50.5
17.8→17.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 2.2
2854
#8
16.30.4
13.2→13.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned