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Red120
742631.2
476514.3
594038.8
Blue24
84616.3
90386.9
68226.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7040020608010012012024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.82.6
20.623.2
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End4.1
red by 22.5
846
#41
16.32.8
15.512.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
31.21.6
29.531.1
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End2.9
red by 24.3
9038
#43
6.92.8
14.311.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Third
4765
#16
14.32.6
9.311.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 8.0
6822
#34
6.32.8
9.66.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed