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Red64
469818.6
85210.9
742631.2
Blue55
497310.1
255114.9
911414.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71350204060801006455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.4
30.830.4
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End2.9
red by 16.3
2551
#14
14.91.4
14.816.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Second
4698
#11
18.60.6
16.916.3
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
red by 4.4
14.20.9
14.014.9
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
852
#30
10.90.6
12.511.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
red by 0.8
4973
#35
10.11.4
7.18.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed