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Red55
469818.6
885215.7
666214.8
Blue98
84616.3
84125.4
84018.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526502040801001205598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#11
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
blue by 6.8
841
#10
25.40.6
24.625.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Second
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 2.8
840
#13
18.50.7
17.518.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
6662
#22
14.80.0
14.714.8
Auto7.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 1.6
846
#41
16.30.7
15.316.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4