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Red68
84018.5
84125.4
84616.3
Blue55
641818.7
696220.0
911414.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67572040801001206855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#10
25.40.2
25.225.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
red by 5.4
6962
#18
20.00.1
20.120.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Second
840
#13
18.50.2
18.218.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 0.2
6418
#25
18.70.1
18.818.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
846
#41
16.30.2
16.016.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 2.1
14.20.1
14.314.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1