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Red59
469818.6
885215.7
666214.8
Blue50
476514.3
167117.0
285416.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53523540455055606570755950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#11
18.60.3
17.818.1
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
red by 1.6
1671
#23
17.00.0
17.417.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Second
15.70.3
14.915.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 0.6
16.30.0
16.616.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
6662
#22
14.80.3
14.014.3
Auto7.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 0.5
4765
#16
14.30.0
14.214.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9