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Red70
911414.2
696220.0
641818.7
Blue34
801613.7
167117.0
285416.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585302040801001207034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#18
20.00.5
19.620.1
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
red by 3.0
1671
#23
17.00.4
17.417.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Second
6418
#25
18.70.5
18.318.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 2.4
16.30.4
16.716.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
14.20.4
13.914.3
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
red by 0.5
8016
#12
13.70.4
14.113.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6