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Red94
804816.8
58133.5
167847.4
Blue67
60431.3
947016.4
325623.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114730501001502009467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.1
47.547.4
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
red by 16.2
604
#5
31.30.1
31.431.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Second
581
#1
33.50.1
33.633.5
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 10.2
23.30.1
23.423.3
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
8048
#30
16.80.1
16.916.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 0.5
9470
#25
16.40.1
16.516.4
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0